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【AMI指數(shù)】2019年2月CAMDA中國農(nóng)機(jī)市場景氣指數(shù)（AMI）

2019-03-08 09:26:19 來源： 中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì) 閱讀量：19642 評論

導(dǎo)讀：中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2019年2月份中國農(nóng)機(jī)市場景氣指數(shù)（AMI）為46.1%，環(huán)比提升10.5個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比提升3.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，6個(gè)一級指數(shù)中除農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)略有下降外，其余均呈現(xiàn)上升態(tài)勢，其中人氣指數(shù)增幅高，為21.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從同比看，6個(gè)一級指數(shù)中效益指數(shù)、農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)有所下降，其余則呈上升趨勢，其中人氣指數(shù)增幅高，為14.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。目前，6個(gè)一級指數(shù)中

　　【中國農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場行情】 


 

     報(bào)告概述 

　　中國農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2019年2月份中國農(nóng)機(jī)市場景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為46.1%，環(huán)比提升10.5個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比提升3.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，6個(gè)一級指數(shù)中除農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)略有下降外，其余均呈現(xiàn)上升態(tài)勢，其中人氣指數(shù)增幅高，為21.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從同比看，6個(gè)一級指數(shù)中效益指數(shù)、農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)有所下降，其余則呈上升趨勢，其中人氣指數(shù)增幅高，為14.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。目前，6個(gè)一級指數(shù)中庫存指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)進(jìn)入景氣區(qū)間，其余位于不景氣區(qū)間。說明：1月份由于系統(tǒng)調(diào)整，總指數(shù)更正為35.6%。

　　特約分析師張華光認(rèn)為：2月份，六個(gè)一級指數(shù)中的五個(gè)環(huán)比出現(xiàn)不同程度的增長，六個(gè)二級指數(shù)的環(huán)比均出現(xiàn)增長，九個(gè)三級指數(shù)中的八個(gè)環(huán)比出現(xiàn)增長。一級指數(shù)中，庫存與經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)挺進(jìn)景氣區(qū)間，2月份農(nóng)機(jī)市場復(fù)蘇跡象明顯。這種現(xiàn)象的成因是多方面的：
 
　　，今年1月份景氣度處于低位，是推高市場環(huán)比的一個(gè)重要因素；
 
　　第二，自去年10月至今年2月，景氣度一直在低位徘徊，2月份有所釋放；
 
　　第三，今年天氣回暖早，春耕提前，流通企業(yè)開始備貨。3月份，農(nóng)機(jī)市場利好與利空因素交錯(cuò)，從利好因素看，一是3月份是傳統(tǒng)銷售旺季；二是2月份人氣指數(shù)的環(huán)比、同比均呈現(xiàn)不同程度的大幅度攀升，經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)環(huán)比也呈兩位數(shù)增長，提示3月份或?qū)⒊掷m(xù)保持一定的景氣狀態(tài)。從利空因素看，市場形勢仍舊嚴(yán)峻，絕大多數(shù)指數(shù)依然處于不景氣區(qū)間，大部分地區(qū)補(bǔ)貼未啟動(dòng)，2月份的增長是市場旺季的前移還是季節(jié)因素的促動(dòng)尚待進(jìn)一步觀察?；诖耍覀兣袛啵?月份，AMI環(huán)比、同比或?qū)⑿》噬?，在榮枯線上下波動(dòng)，多數(shù)分指數(shù)還將在榮枯線下徘徊。
 
　　一級指數(shù)運(yùn)行情況
 
　　1銷售能力指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，銷售能力指數(shù)為39.7%，比上月提升10.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升4.9個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

　　2效益指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，效益指數(shù)為49.2%，比上月提升14.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期下降0.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

 
3   農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)
　　2019年2月，農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)為45.7%，比上月下降3.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期下降14.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

       4   庫存指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，庫存指數(shù)為51.8%，比上月提升5.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升9.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，進(jìn)入景氣區(qū)間。春耕臨近，廠家為了備貨加大庫存量使庫存狀態(tài)更加合理。

 
       5   人氣指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，人氣指數(shù)為49.6%，比上月提升21.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升14.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

       6   經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)為57.8%，比上月提升12.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期下降12.9個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，進(jìn)入景氣區(qū)間。

 
　　二級指數(shù)運(yùn)行情況
 
　　1   拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)為40.8%，比上月提升16.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升7.9個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

 
       2   耕整地機(jī)械指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，耕整地機(jī)械指數(shù)為38.9%，比上月提升9.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升6.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

       3   種植機(jī)指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，種植機(jī)械指數(shù)為33.4%，比上月提升3.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升3.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

 
       4   田間管理機(jī)械指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，田間管理機(jī)械指數(shù)為39.3%，比上月提升6.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

       5   收獲機(jī)械指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，收獲機(jī)械指數(shù)為35.5%，比上月提升7.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升7.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 

       6   運(yùn)輸機(jī)械指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，運(yùn)輸機(jī)械指數(shù)為59.7%，比上月提升24.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升27.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，進(jìn)入景氣區(qū)間。

　　三級指數(shù)運(yùn)行情況
 
　　1   大型拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，大型拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)為42.2%，比上月提升12.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升7.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

 

 
　　2中型拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，中型拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)為46.4%，比上月提升18.5個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升11.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

 
　　3小型拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，小型拖拉機(jī)指數(shù)為33.6%，比上月提升15.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升4.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 

 
　　4旋耕機(jī)指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，旋耕機(jī)指數(shù)為44.6%，比上月提升20.9個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升12.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

　　5播種機(jī)指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，播種機(jī)指數(shù)為31.6%，比上月下降1.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升0.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 

       6   插秧機(jī)指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，插秧機(jī)指數(shù)為35.1%，比上月提升8.5個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升6.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

       7   小麥?zhǔn)斋@機(jī)指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，小麥?zhǔn)斋@機(jī)指數(shù)為41.0%，比上月提升11.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升10.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

       8   水稻收獲機(jī)指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，水稻收獲機(jī)指數(shù)為36.9%，比上月提升8.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升10.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

       9   玉米收獲機(jī)指數(shù)
 
　　2019年2月，玉米收獲機(jī)指數(shù)為28.9%，比上月提升2.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，比上年同期提升2.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，位于不景氣區(qū)間。

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