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農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部：一季度農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格呈季節(jié)性上漲走勢(shì)

2019-04-19 14:40:07 來源：農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量：34709 評(píng)論

導(dǎo)讀：日前，農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部新聞辦公室舉辦新聞發(fā)布會(huì)介紹2019年一季度重點(diǎn)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場運(yùn)行情況。據(jù)農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部市場與信息化司司長唐珂介紹，今年以來我國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場總體運(yùn)行穩(wěn)定，價(jià)格呈季節(jié)性上漲走勢(shì)。

　　【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場行情】日前，農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部新聞辦公室舉辦新聞發(fā)布會(huì)介紹2019年一季度重點(diǎn)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場運(yùn)行情況。據(jù)農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部市場與信息化司司長唐珂介紹，今年以來我國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場總體運(yùn)行穩(wěn)定，價(jià)格呈季節(jié)性上漲走勢(shì)。
 
　　糧食市場：糧食價(jià)格基本穩(wěn)定
 
　　3月份三種糧食集貿(mào)市場月均價(jià)每百斤120.74元，環(huán)比跌1.6%，同比低3.5%。其中小麥價(jià)格每百斤119.55元，環(huán)比跌3.7%，同比低5.3%；稻谷價(jià)格每百斤142.44元，環(huán)比跌1.7%，同比低3.6%；玉米價(jià)格每百斤100.23元，環(huán)比漲1.2%，同比低1.0%。
 
　　豬肉市場：有望保持波動(dòng)上行
 
　　春節(jié)過后，豬肉價(jià)格一反往年節(jié)后淡季下跌走勢(shì)，開始持續(xù)上漲，價(jià)格一度恢復(fù)到非洲豬瘟發(fā)生前的水平，豬肉未來供需形勢(shì)及價(jià)格行情成為市場焦點(diǎn)。從后期走勢(shì)看，二季度豬價(jià)有望保持波動(dòng)上行走勢(shì)，考慮到部分屠宰企業(yè)前期儲(chǔ)備的凍豬肉陸續(xù)出庫以及上半年季節(jié)性消費(fèi)相對(duì)平穩(wěn)等因素，豬價(jià)大幅上漲的空間不大。下半年隨著生豬出欄量進(jìn)一步下降，疊加節(jié)日需求高峰，豬價(jià)或?qū)⒊霈F(xiàn)階段性快速上漲。
 
　　玉米市場：玉米價(jià)格企穩(wěn)回暖
 
　　去年新季玉米收獲期推遲，企業(yè)入市積極性不高，東北地區(qū)種植戶售糧進(jìn)度明顯偏慢，農(nóng)民手中仍有較多余糧。春節(jié)后，隨著天氣逐漸回暖及農(nóng)戶變現(xiàn)的需要，東北地區(qū)玉米購銷趨于活躍，3月中旬，國家啟動(dòng)一次性儲(chǔ)備收購后，玉米價(jià)格企穩(wěn)回暖。慮到國家臨儲(chǔ)玉米庫存已大幅下降，市場供給壓力緩解，預(yù)計(jì)后期玉米價(jià)格將保持總體平穩(wěn)。
 
　　大豆市場：菜籽油價(jià)格逆勢(shì)上漲
 
　　在大豆供應(yīng)較寬裕的背景下，預(yù)計(jì)今年上半年我國進(jìn)口大豆的貨源比較充足。一季度國內(nèi)大宗油籽和食用植物油價(jià)格總體下跌，菜籽油價(jià)格卻逆勢(shì)上漲。展望后市，加強(qiáng)進(jìn)口油菜籽檢疫措施將顯著減少我國油菜籽進(jìn)口量。菜籽油價(jià)格有望保持上漲走勢(shì)。但在國內(nèi)食用植物油供給整體有保障的前提下，預(yù)計(jì)未來不會(huì)對(duì)食用植物油供給造成太大的影響。
 
　　蔬菜市場：價(jià)格高位震蕩
 
　　受降溫等不利天氣條件影響，今年春節(jié)以后蔬菜價(jià)格呈現(xiàn)春節(jié)前季節(jié)性上漲、春節(jié)后高位震蕩走勢(shì)。由于去年以來菜價(jià)總體水平較高，蔬菜種植的積極性普遍提升，天氣持續(xù)好轉(zhuǎn)后，部分地區(qū)個(gè)別品種集中大量上市，可能出現(xiàn)價(jià)格大幅下跌和滯銷賣難的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。
 
　　禽蛋市場：雞蛋積壓較多，加速價(jià)格下跌
 
　　去年秋季以來，全國雞蛋價(jià)格連續(xù)6個(gè)月下跌。春節(jié)后，全國多地雨雪天氣影響禽蛋市場流通，養(yǎng)殖戶雞蛋積壓較多，加速價(jià)格下跌。預(yù)計(jì)二季度產(chǎn)蛋雞存欄穩(wěn)中略增，禽蛋市場供需基本平衡，后期禽蛋價(jià)格將逐步企穩(wěn)回升，建議養(yǎng)殖戶理性看待本次價(jià)格下跌，做好疫病防控，保持合理存欄。
 
　　本文由農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布，部分資料來源：農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部，如有侵權(quán)或異議請(qǐng)聯(lián)系我們。

上一篇： 一季度我國農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)開局良好 產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值和農(nóng)民收入保持“雙增長

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