2018全年農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)速覽

2018-12-14 14:36:21 來(lái)源：中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量：32713 評(píng)論

　　【中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場(chǎng)行情】今年我國(guó)的農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)整體處于低迷狀態(tài)，但是在3月份的時(shí)候出現(xiàn)了由深度不景氣到景氣的“蝶變”，這是一二月份市場(chǎng)觸底形成“洼地”后的反彈，這個(gè)時(shí)候春耕開始，市場(chǎng)正處于傳統(tǒng)旺季，同時(shí)也是因?yàn)榻暧衩?、小?a href="http://epigene.com.cn/chanpin-7534.html" target="_blank">收獲機(jī)及拖拉機(jī)市場(chǎng)持續(xù)低迷，直接觸動(dòng)剛性與更新雙向需求發(fā)力的結(jié)果。
 
2018年AMI走勢(shì)圖
 
　　此后，從四月份開始，AMI大體處于下滑階段，農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)受水稻價(jià)格下行、傳統(tǒng)市場(chǎng)飽和、購(gòu)買力下降、更新周期延長(zhǎng)等諸多利空因素掣肘，整體形勢(shì)不容樂(lè)觀。下面是具體各個(gè)月份的農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣情況。
 
　　1月中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)20.7%
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2018年1月份中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為20.7%，環(huán)比下降6.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比下降12.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)除庫(kù)存量指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)略有提升，其他四個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，其中效益指數(shù)降幅高，為23.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從同比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中除庫(kù)存量指數(shù)略有上升外，其他五個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，其中經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)降幅高，為44.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。目前，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　2月中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)37.5%
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2018年2月份中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為37.5%，環(huán)比上升16.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比下降19.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)除庫(kù)存量指數(shù)略有下降，其他5個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢(shì)，其中經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)增幅高，為63.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從同比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中除經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)上升外，其他5個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，其中人氣指數(shù)降幅高，為42.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。目前，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)位于景氣區(qū)間。從本月起，二級(jí)指數(shù)增加耕整地機(jī)械指數(shù)，三級(jí)指數(shù)增加深松機(jī)指數(shù)和旋耕機(jī)指數(shù)。
 
　　3月中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)70.3%
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2018年3月份中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為70.3%，環(huán)比上升32.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比上升8.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，5個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢(shì)，其中人氣指數(shù)增幅高，為48.9個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從同比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中除農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)略有下降外，其他5個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢(shì)，其中經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)增幅高，為19.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。目前，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均位于景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　4月中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)61.9%
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2018年4月份中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為61.9%，環(huán)比下降8.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比上升15.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，其中效益指數(shù)降幅高，為29.3個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從同比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中除農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)略有下降外，其他5個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢(shì)，其中人氣指數(shù)增幅高，為42.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。目前，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均位于景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　5月中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)42.1%
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2018年5月份中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為42.1%，環(huán)比下降19.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比上升12.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，其中效益指數(shù)、庫(kù)存指數(shù)、人氣指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)降幅均在20%以上。從同比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中除農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)略有下降外，其他5個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢(shì)，其中人氣指數(shù)增幅高，為16.5個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。目前，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　6月中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)為25.5%
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2018年6月份中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為25.5%，環(huán)比下降16.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比上升2.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中除經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，其中銷售能力指數(shù)降幅高，為27.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從同比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中銷售能力指數(shù)、效益指數(shù)和農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)呈下降趨勢(shì)，另外三個(gè)指數(shù)則呈上升趨勢(shì)。目前，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。從本月起，二級(jí)、三級(jí)指數(shù)產(chǎn)品類別調(diào)入田間管理機(jī)械、畜牧機(jī)械、收獲后處理機(jī)械、播種機(jī)、插秧機(jī)、植保機(jī)和施肥機(jī)，調(diào)出柴油機(jī)。部分指數(shù)算法有所調(diào)整。
 
　　7月中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)30.5%
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2018年7月份中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為30.5%，環(huán)比上升5.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比下降2.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中除庫(kù)存量指數(shù)有所下降外，其余均呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢(shì)，其中農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)增幅高，為11.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從同比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中除庫(kù)存量指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)呈上升趨勢(shì)外，其余均呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)。其中效益指數(shù)降幅高，為25.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。目前，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)除農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)外均位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　8月中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)29.4%
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2018年8月份中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為29.4%，環(huán)比下降1.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比下降13.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中銷售能力指數(shù)、農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)和庫(kù)存量指數(shù)有所下降，其余呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢(shì)，其中人氣指數(shù)增幅高，為14.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從同比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，其中效益指數(shù)降幅高，為29.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。目前，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　9月中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)25.2%
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2018年9月份中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為25.2%，環(huán)比下降4.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比下降13.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，其中經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)降幅高，為13.1個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從同比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中除經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)外，其余全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，其中銷售能力指數(shù)降幅高，為22.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。目前，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。從本月起，三級(jí)指數(shù)中深松機(jī)指數(shù)暫不發(fā)布。
 
　　10月中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)22.0%
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2018年10月份中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為22.0%，環(huán)比下降3.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比下降14.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)除補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)外全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，其中人氣指數(shù)降幅高，為6.9個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從同比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中除庫(kù)存量指數(shù)外，其余全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，其中效益指數(shù)降幅高，為34.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。目前，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　11月中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)20.2%
 
　　中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械流通協(xié)會(huì)發(fā)布的2018年11月份中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)市場(chǎng)景氣指數(shù)(AMI)為20.2%，環(huán)比下降1.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，同比下降7.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從環(huán)比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中銷售能力指數(shù)、效益指數(shù)和人氣指數(shù)呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，其中人氣指數(shù)降幅高，為10.6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)、庫(kù)存量指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)則有所提升，農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼指數(shù)增幅高，為5.0個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。從同比看，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)中除庫(kù)存量指數(shù)和經(jīng)理人信心指數(shù)外，其余全部呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，其中銷售能力指數(shù)降幅高，為18.7個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。目前，6個(gè)一級(jí)指數(shù)均位于不景氣區(qū)間。
 
　　此外，預(yù)計(jì)12月份AMI將持續(xù)徘徊在不景氣區(qū)間，環(huán)比有望回升，同比將持續(xù)其跌勢(shì)。后續(xù)消息請(qǐng)繼續(xù)關(guān)注中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)(epigene.com.cn)相關(guān)資訊。
 
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