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農(nóng)機(jī)企業(yè)焦慮難免：達(dá)到“國(guó)三”標(biāo)準(zhǔn)容易嗎？

2017-09-08 14:00:59 來(lái)源：中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 閱讀量：52775 評(píng)論

導(dǎo)讀：“國(guó)二”升“國(guó)三”，無(wú)論對(duì)于農(nóng)機(jī)企業(yè)還是農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)，都是一場(chǎng)輸不起的戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)。不僅是對(duì)國(guó)產(chǎn)農(nóng)機(jī)的徹底洗牌，更是關(guān)乎到我國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)化事業(yè)的發(fā)展。

　　【中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 本站原創(chuàng)】“國(guó)二”升“國(guó)三”，無(wú)論對(duì)于農(nóng)機(jī)企業(yè)還是農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)，都是一場(chǎng)輸不起的戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)。不僅是對(duì)國(guó)產(chǎn)農(nóng)機(jī)的徹底洗牌，更是關(guān)乎到我國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)化事業(yè)的發(fā)展。
 
　　根據(jù)2016年環(huán)保部第5號(hào)公告，農(nóng)機(jī)企業(yè)將分步實(shí)施《非道路標(biāo)準(zhǔn)》的第三階段標(biāo)準(zhǔn)。自2015年10月1日起，所有制造和銷售的非道路移動(dòng)機(jī)械用柴油機(jī)，污染物排放必須符合本標(biāo)準(zhǔn)第三階段要求。自2016年4月1日起，農(nóng)機(jī)發(fā)動(dòng)機(jī)企業(yè)只能消化庫(kù)存，不能再生產(chǎn)國(guó)二新產(chǎn)品。自2016年12月1日起，所有制造、進(jìn)口和銷售的農(nóng)用機(jī)械將全部實(shí)行國(guó)三標(biāo)準(zhǔn)。
 
　　農(nóng)用柴油機(jī)排放標(biāo)準(zhǔn)由“國(guó)二”升級(jí)為“國(guó)三”，加快了農(nóng)機(jī)向綠色轉(zhuǎn)型的腳步。從長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)來(lái)看，更有利于推動(dòng)國(guó)產(chǎn)農(nóng)機(jī)向轉(zhuǎn)型。但在向“國(guó)三”標(biāo)準(zhǔn)切換的過(guò)渡期內(nèi)，企業(yè)的時(shí)間緊、任務(wù)重，同時(shí)還要面臨消化“國(guó)二”農(nóng)機(jī)庫(kù)存的巨大壓力，以及“國(guó)二”市場(chǎng)優(yōu)惠增多，市場(chǎng)份額占有率增高致使“國(guó)三”市場(chǎng)縮小的困境。
 
　　“國(guó)三”帶給大企業(yè)的“焦慮”
 
　　對(duì)于農(nóng)機(jī)主機(jī)企業(yè)來(lái)說(shuō)，“國(guó)三”切換要面臨“國(guó)二”備貨、庫(kù)存控制、“國(guó)三”技術(shù)路線選型等工作。一個(gè)環(huán)節(jié)控制不好，就會(huì)給企業(yè)帶來(lái)巨大的庫(kù)存產(chǎn)品滯銷損失，或者失去市場(chǎng)份額的嚴(yán)重后果。
 
　　2015年，中國(guó)一拖對(duì)“國(guó)三”的研發(fā)工作已歷時(shí)10年，已經(jīng)掌握了高壓共軌、電控單體泵、電控轉(zhuǎn)子泵、機(jī)械泵等多種燃油技術(shù)的“國(guó)三”路線。但是由于時(shí)間倉(cāng)促，在“國(guó)三”柴油機(jī)與主機(jī)企業(yè)配套后，來(lái)不及進(jìn)行田間作業(yè)試驗(yàn)，產(chǎn)品的安全性、可靠性無(wú)法得到驗(yàn)證(因?yàn)?ldquo;國(guó)三”新機(jī)必須要裝載OBD)。同時(shí)，還要面對(duì)近3萬(wàn)臺(tái)配裝“國(guó)二”柴油機(jī)主機(jī)的庫(kù)存。
 
　　2016年9月底，一拖宣布經(jīng)過(guò)春耕與夏收兩個(gè)作業(yè)季的檢驗(yàn)與改進(jìn)，“國(guó)三”產(chǎn)品性能已經(jīng)趨于穩(wěn)定，明年的使用將不成問(wèn)題。在2017年初發(fā)布的企業(yè)年報(bào)中顯示，公司生產(chǎn)的非道路移動(dòng)機(jī)械用柴油機(jī)排氣污染物排放標(biāo)準(zhǔn)由“國(guó)二”排放標(biāo)準(zhǔn)升級(jí)至“國(guó)三”排放標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，“國(guó)三”排放柴油機(jī)配套拖拉機(jī)、收獲機(jī)等，均取得了良好的市場(chǎng)反應(yīng)。
 
　　2017年在河南洛陽(yáng)舉辦的“2017中國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)零部件行業(yè)峰會(huì)”上，環(huán)保部大氣管理司處長(zhǎng)詳細(xì)介紹了我國(guó)機(jī)動(dòng)車，包括非道路車輛環(huán)境管理工作要求、當(dāng)前面臨的形勢(shì)和突出問(wèn)題。他還提出，農(nóng)機(jī)生產(chǎn)企業(yè)應(yīng)主動(dòng)承擔(dān)起社會(huì)責(zé)任，嚴(yán)格執(zhí)行非道路機(jī)械國(guó)Ⅲ排放標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，并積極參與國(guó)Ⅳ標(biāo)準(zhǔn)的制定。
 
　　在推進(jìn)國(guó)產(chǎn)農(nóng)機(jī)向農(nóng)機(jī)轉(zhuǎn)型的道路上，政策始終走在前沿。因此，農(nóng)機(jī)中、小企業(yè)更是不能松懈，要努力專研，加快研發(fā)創(chuàng)新，以防掉隊(duì)。
 
　　市場(chǎng)帶給“國(guó)三”的緊張感
 
　　國(guó)家是否達(dá)到“國(guó)三”標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，當(dāng)然還是要看“國(guó)三”機(jī)械的市場(chǎng)份額占有率。市場(chǎng)份額占有率可從三方面來(lái)分析。
 
　　一方面：
 
　　按政策規(guī)定，農(nóng)機(jī)“國(guó)二”升“國(guó)三”非常緊迫，“國(guó)二”庫(kù)存怎么消化，在如此短暫的時(shí)間內(nèi)，毫無(wú)疑問(wèn)，對(duì)于農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)是一場(chǎng)非常緊迫的戰(zhàn)役，在過(guò)去的2016年對(duì)于農(nóng)機(jī)企業(yè)是非常艱難的一年。
 
　　為了減少庫(kù)存，企業(yè)勢(shì)必會(huì)降低機(jī)械價(jià)格、提高優(yōu)惠政策。即便監(jiān)管不嚴(yán)，估計(jì)明年也很難在市場(chǎng)上買(mǎi)到“國(guó)二”產(chǎn)品，像玉柴、全柴、東方紅等柴油機(jī)上市公司根本不敢拿自己的聲譽(yù)開(kāi)玩笑，其他中小柴油機(jī)生產(chǎn)企業(yè)也不太敢冒這份風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。因此16年，農(nóng)機(jī)企業(yè)爭(zhēng)先“消耗”庫(kù)存，造成“企業(yè)兩年之內(nèi)賣完了十幾年的機(jī)械”的現(xiàn)象。市場(chǎng)被“國(guó)二”農(nóng)機(jī)膨脹，導(dǎo)致17年“國(guó)三”農(nóng)機(jī)銷量增長(zhǎng)緩慢。
 
　　另一方面：
 
　　“國(guó)三”車相較“國(guó)二”車省油(小范圍形式影響不大)，5噸左右的車型百公里省1升左右，10噸在2L左右。同時(shí)，“國(guó)三”發(fā)動(dòng)機(jī)在國(guó)二基礎(chǔ)上還改進(jìn)了內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)，增加了尾氣催化器。催化器的工作機(jī)理就是利用涂附在濾芯表面的貴金屬(鉑、銥、鈀等)促使尾氣中的CO、HC、NOX等有害成分進(jìn)一步氧化(燃燒)轉(zhuǎn)化成CO2和水等無(wú)害物質(zhì)，轉(zhuǎn)化的效率與催化器中的貴金屬含量是直接相關(guān)的，貴金屬含量越高轉(zhuǎn)化就越徹底，為滿足“國(guó)三”排放標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，催化器中的貴金屬含量較“國(guó)二”發(fā)動(dòng)機(jī)的要高出近1倍(一般是直接增加一個(gè)催化器)。因此，“國(guó)三”發(fā)動(dòng)機(jī)相比國(guó)二發(fā)動(dòng)機(jī)成本要高出許多，整車價(jià)格自然水漲船高。
 
　　在“國(guó)三”和“國(guó)二”機(jī)械的價(jià)格差異上，“國(guó)三”沒(méi)有進(jìn)入市場(chǎng)的優(yōu)勢(shì)。加之，國(guó)家對(duì)“國(guó)三”產(chǎn)品的補(bǔ)貼政策出臺(tái)緩慢，也是導(dǎo)致“國(guó)三”機(jī)械市場(chǎng)份額占有率不高的重要因素。
 
　　第三方面：
 
　　我國(guó)“國(guó)三”標(biāo)準(zhǔn)是完全按照“歐三”的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)制定實(shí)施的，但是“國(guó)三”比“歐三”晚了8年，機(jī)械水平差異可想而知。因此，對(duì)于本身早就經(jīng)過(guò)試驗(yàn)階段，達(dá)到歐美排放標(biāo)準(zhǔn)的約翰迪爾、愛(ài)科、久保田等企業(yè)來(lái)說(shuō)，“國(guó)二”升“國(guó)三”對(duì)于他們是“小菜一碟”，只不過(guò)增加了些產(chǎn)品成本。一些對(duì)價(jià)格彈性較為敏感的農(nóng)機(jī)用戶，為了消除自身顧慮，或?qū)⒏嗟目紤]選擇外資品牌。
 
　　結(jié)語(yǔ)
 
　　“國(guó)二”升“國(guó)三”，無(wú)論對(duì)于農(nóng)機(jī)企業(yè)還是農(nóng)機(jī)行業(yè)，都是一場(chǎng)輸不起的戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)。不僅是對(duì)國(guó)產(chǎn)農(nóng)機(jī)的徹底洗牌，更是關(guān)乎到我國(guó)農(nóng)機(jī)化事業(yè)的發(fā)展。因此，我們依然要勇敢的在“國(guó)二”升“國(guó)三”這條道路上跟上步伐。
 

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