從購機(jī)強(qiáng)度看玉米收獲機(jī)市場空間及幾點(diǎn)建議

2023-09-20 09:21:23 來源：總站信息處 作者：劉振營 閱讀量：11791 評(píng)論

　　【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場行情】2022年，國家玉米收獲機(jī)補(bǔ)貼銷售73647臺(tái)，各省區(qū)玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度如何，還有多大的市場空間？下面就玉米收獲機(jī)的發(fā)展提出幾點(diǎn)建議。
 
　　一、玉米種植區(qū)劃分和種植面積 1、玉米六個(gè)種植區(qū)：
 
　　玉米在各地區(qū)的種植分布卻并不均衡，主要集中在東北、華北和西南地區(qū)，大致形成一個(gè)從東北到西南的斜長形玉米種植帶。種植面積較大的省區(qū)主要有黑龍江、吉林、河北、山東、河南、內(nèi)蒙古、遼寧等省區(qū)，這8個(gè)省區(qū)玉米播種面積占到總播種面積的66%左右。目前玉米主產(chǎn)區(qū)主要有以下六大區(qū)域。
 
　　一是北方春播玉米主產(chǎn)區(qū)。包括東北三省、內(nèi)蒙古、寧夏及河北、山西、陜西、甘肅的一部分地區(qū)。一年一熟，旱地為主，占總面積的26.67%。
 
　　二是黃淮海平原夏播玉米主產(chǎn)區(qū)。包括山東與河南全部，河北、山西中南部，陜西中部，江蘇、安徽北部。一年兩熟，水澆地與旱地并重，占總面積的43.4%。
 
　　三是西南山地玉米主產(chǎn)區(qū)。以四川、云南、貴州全部，湖南與陜西南部及廣西西部丘陵地為主。一年一熟、二熟、三熟并存，水旱田交錯(cuò)，占總面積的20%。
 
　　四是南方丘陵玉米主產(chǎn)區(qū)。包括廣東、江西、福建、浙江、上海、中國臺(tái)灣、海南全部，廣西、湖南、湖北東部及江蘇、安徽南部。水田旱地并舉，一年三熟，玉米有春、秋、冬播，占總面積的5%。
 
　　五是西北灌溉玉米主產(chǎn)區(qū)。包括新疆全部和甘肅河西走廊。一年一熟或二熟，水澆地為主，占總面積的4%。
 
　　六是青藏高原玉米主產(chǎn)區(qū)。包括青海、西藏全部。一年一熟，旱地春播單作，占總面積的1%。
 
　　2、各省區(qū)玉米種植面積
 
　　根據(jù)國家統(tǒng)計(jì)局提供的數(shù)據(jù)，2015-2019年各省區(qū)玉米種植面積，并計(jì)算出這5年平均值，作為計(jì)算玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度的數(shù)據(jù)。同樣，因?yàn)橛衩追N植面積以省區(qū)為單位，因此將農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼核算省區(qū)中的墾區(qū)和計(jì)劃單列市的數(shù)據(jù)，合并計(jì)算到其所在省區(qū)。
 
　　從各省區(qū)玉米種植面積的分布看，黑龍江種植面積最大，達(dá)到9583.4萬畝；吉林和河南都超過了6000萬畝，山東、河南和河北都超過了5000萬畝，吉林4000多萬畝，四川、山西和云南都超過了2000萬畝，安徽、甘肅、新疆、貴州和湖北才最超過了1000萬畝。
 
各省區(qū)玉米5年平均種植面積一覽表
 
　　二、各省區(qū)玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度及市場空間分析
 
　　1、2022年各省區(qū)玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度
 
　　2022年，玉米種植面積按5年平均64488.6萬畝計(jì)算，當(dāng)年購置玉米收獲機(jī)73647臺(tái)，各地平均玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度為1.142臺(tái)/萬畝。
 
2022年各省區(qū)玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度
 
　　2、7省區(qū)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度處于高峰期或購買意愿比較強(qiáng)
 
　　玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度大于平均值1.142臺(tái)/萬畝的省區(qū)有7個(gè)。其中大于2臺(tái)/萬畝的有兩個(gè)省，分別是安徽2.289臺(tái)/萬畝和山東2.206臺(tái)/萬畝，說明這兩個(gè)省正處于玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)高峰期。吉林、天津、山西、河北和河南5省市玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度也都高于平均值，說明這些省市購買玉米收獲機(jī)的意愿比較強(qiáng)。
 
　　處于玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)高峰期和購買意愿比較強(qiáng)的省區(qū)，都是北方春播玉米主產(chǎn)區(qū)和黃淮海平原夏播玉米主產(chǎn)區(qū)的省區(qū)。這兩個(gè)玉米主產(chǎn)區(qū)種植面積，占玉米種植總面積的70%以上，說明玉米收獲機(jī)整體處于發(fā)展高峰期，且重點(diǎn)在玉米種植主產(chǎn)區(qū)。
 
　　3、大多數(shù)省區(qū)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度較低或0購機(jī)
 
　　寧夏、遼寧和內(nèi)蒙古雖然低于購機(jī)強(qiáng)度平均值，但都大于1臺(tái)/萬畝，屬于購機(jī)強(qiáng)度稍差的省區(qū)；陜西、甘肅和黑龍江3省購機(jī)強(qiáng)度在0.5-1.0臺(tái)/萬畝之間，屬于購機(jī)強(qiáng)度較差的省區(qū)；江蘇、新疆、北京、湖北、云南和四川5省區(qū)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度小于0.5臺(tái)/萬畝，屬于購機(jī)強(qiáng)度極差省區(qū)；其余11個(gè)省區(qū)2022年0購機(jī)，特別是貴州、廣西、重慶和湖南等省區(qū)，雖然玉米種植面積不算太少，但玉米收獲機(jī)市場處于未啟動(dòng)狀態(tài)。
 
　　4、玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度低的省區(qū)各有各的原因
 
　　玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度低于全國平均水平的省區(qū)有24個(gè)，購機(jī)強(qiáng)度低各有各的原因。
 
　　一是玉米種植面積很小或沒有的省區(qū)。如北京和上海兩個(gè)大都市，玉米種植面積很小，年度購機(jī)的偶然性較大，購機(jī)強(qiáng)度低或?yàn)?不足為奇。另外，西藏、青海、江西、福建和浙江等省區(qū)，玉米種植面積較小，都在而萬畝以下，種植區(qū)域分散且大多處在丘陵山區(qū)，不宜聯(lián)合收割機(jī)收獲，所以0購機(jī)。海南沒有玉米種植面積，自然是0購機(jī)。
 
　　二是玉米種植面積較大，但由于玉米收獲機(jī)多年大力推廣，已趨于飽和，所以購機(jī)強(qiáng)度降低或不高。如黑龍江、新疆、內(nèi)蒙古等省區(qū)。
 
　　三是玉米種植面積雖然較大，但由于地形地貌不宜聯(lián)合收獲機(jī)作業(yè)，或購買力不足，因而造成購機(jī)強(qiáng)度很低，或者干脆0購機(jī)。如果在深山老林里，玉米種植很分散，這種幾棵，那種幾棵，要實(shí)現(xiàn)聯(lián)合收割機(jī)收獲非常難。但四川、云南、貴州和湖北4省區(qū)，玉米種植面積都在1000-3000萬畝，而玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度卻非常低甚至0購機(jī)，玉米種植非常分散的情況很難說得過去。
 
　　四是玉米大豆間作套種玉米收獲機(jī)不能作業(yè)。玉米大豆間作套種種植模式發(fā)源地在四川，目前推廣力度很大。四川、云南、貴州和湖北等省區(qū)，雖然種植面積都不少，但玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度卻極低，甚至0購機(jī)，可能與玉米大豆間作套種有關(guān)。
 
　　三、購機(jī)強(qiáng)度低和聯(lián)合收獲率不高的省區(qū)發(fā)展建議
 
　　據(jù)有關(guān)資料，玉米機(jī)收率目前為78%，如果按聯(lián)合收獲機(jī)收獲率，可能還要低很多。為此，向玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度低，且玉米聯(lián)合收獲率不高的省區(qū)提以下幾點(diǎn)建議。
 
　　1、加強(qiáng)調(diào)研摸清購機(jī)強(qiáng)度低和聯(lián)合收獲率不高的原因
 
　　玉米收獲機(jī)購機(jī)強(qiáng)度很低或0購機(jī)的省區(qū)，應(yīng)該加強(qiáng)調(diào)查研究，摸清購機(jī)強(qiáng)度低和聯(lián)合收獲率不高的原因，然后針對(duì)問題原因，與企業(yè)和農(nóng)機(jī)部門一起，加大開展有針對(duì)性的推廣工作，加快提升玉米收獲機(jī)械化水平。
 
　　2、研制丘陵山區(qū)適用機(jī)型，搶占巨大的市場空間
 
　　玉米收獲機(jī)在丘陵山區(qū)使用最大的問題是穩(wěn)定性問題。因?yàn)樵谇鹆晟絽^(qū)，地塊普遍較小，而小型玉米收獲機(jī)單行機(jī)或兩行機(jī)，因收獲寬幅很窄，造成輪距很窄，這樣在丘陵山區(qū)坡道行駛或作業(yè)時(shí)，就很容易出現(xiàn)側(cè)翻，甚至造成車毀人亡的惡性事故。
 
　　因此，玉米收獲機(jī)生產(chǎn)企業(yè)應(yīng)研發(fā)適合丘陵山區(qū)使用的玉米收獲機(jī)機(jī)型，例如采取玉米收獲機(jī)坡地作業(yè)時(shí)，像山地拖拉機(jī)那樣，增設(shè)能夠保持機(jī)身水平的平衡機(jī)構(gòu)等。
 
　　3、研制與大豆間作的玉米收獲機(jī)
 
　　目前，各地玉米大豆間作套種面積不斷加大，研制與大豆間作套種的玉米收獲機(jī)刻不容緩?？煽紤]加大四行玉米收獲機(jī)的輪距，割臺(tái)中間空出兩行大豆的距離，一次跨大豆收獲兩側(cè)的玉米各兩行，實(shí)現(xiàn)與大豆間作套種的玉米聯(lián)合收獲。
 
　　目前，適合糧豆間作套種的農(nóng)機(jī)補(bǔ)貼力度很大，企業(yè)應(yīng)該抓住這一機(jī)會(huì)，加快研制相關(guān)機(jī)具，搶占市場先機(jī)。

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