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農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部：豬肉市場供需總體平衡，生豬養(yǎng)殖高利潤階段已結(jié)束

2021-07-21 11:49:59 來源：農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量：29897 評論

導(dǎo)讀：據(jù)農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部對定點屠宰企業(yè)統(tǒng)計，6月份規(guī)模以上屠宰企業(yè)屠宰量2200萬頭，同比增加了66%，除了供應(yīng)增加，還有一個助推因素，就是在今年年初時受寒潮影響，仔豬成活率有所下降，一些商業(yè)機(jī)構(gòu)借勢炒作，誤導(dǎo)了一批養(yǎng)豬場戶，一些養(yǎng)豬場戶開始壓欄惜售，賭端午節(jié)的市場

　　【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 市場行情】 7月20日，農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部新聞辦公室舉行了新聞發(fā)布會，介紹上半年農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行情況，并回答記者提問。
 
　　關(guān)于生豬產(chǎn)業(yè)，我們知道，今年生豬價格大幅度下跌，部分養(yǎng)殖戶出現(xiàn)虧損狀況。對此，農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部畜牧獸醫(yī)局二級巡視員辛國昌表示，年初從2月份開始，生豬價格連續(xù)5個月下降，降到6月末，全國集貿(mào)市場豬肉的零售價格是一公斤24.6元，這比2020年2月份的歷史最高價59.64元降了一半還多?？赡艽蠹乙舱嬲媲星械馗惺艿截i肉價格確實是便宜了。但是隨之帶來的問題，就是養(yǎng)殖利潤不斷下降，到6月份，養(yǎng)殖場戶陷入了虧損，這種局面如果持續(xù)下去，既不利于產(chǎn)業(yè)長期穩(wěn)定發(fā)展，也不利于豬肉長期的穩(wěn)產(chǎn)保供。所以，豬肉價格大家都比較關(guān)注，價格高了消費者不高興，價格低了養(yǎng)殖場戶不高興。
 

 

　　從目前價格下降的原因看，最主要的還是產(chǎn)能恢復(fù)比較好，產(chǎn)能上來了，市場供應(yīng)也隨之增加了。據(jù)農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部對定點屠宰企業(yè)統(tǒng)計，6月份規(guī)模以上屠宰企業(yè)屠宰量2200萬頭，同比增加了66%，這個增量是很大的。除了供應(yīng)增加，還有一個助推因素，就是在今年年初時受寒潮影響，仔豬成活率有所下降，一些商業(yè)機(jī)構(gòu)借勢炒作，誤導(dǎo)了一批養(yǎng)豬場戶，一些養(yǎng)豬場戶開始壓欄惜售，賭端午節(jié)的市場，甚至養(yǎng)殖場戶買別人出欄的肥豬，進(jìn)行二次育肥，結(jié)果6月份的市場并不像預(yù)期的那樣價格行情比較高，而是陷入了虧損，所以這也是一個助推因素。
 
　　針對這種局面，農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部連續(xù)通過權(quán)威媒體發(fā)布預(yù)警信息，提醒養(yǎng)豬場戶避免投機(jī)性壓欄和恐慌性出欄，加快淘汰低產(chǎn)母豬，配合國家發(fā)展改革委發(fā)布了豬糧比價過度下跌的一級預(yù)警，并且分兩批收儲了3.3萬噸豬肉。在各方密切配合下，近期市場價格下跌的趨勢被遏制住了。7月份以來，豬價基本穩(wěn)定在成本線附近，略低于成本線，大概市場上活豬價格每公斤16塊錢。
 
　　關(guān)于下一步市場走勢，我們也做了一些分析。下半年，整個消費會有所增加，但從生產(chǎn)增長的慣性看，豬肉供應(yīng)也會有所增加。綜合兩方面因素分析，可能未來一段時期豬肉市場供需總體是平衡的，這種平衡局面要持續(xù)一段時間。隨著消費趨旺，可能養(yǎng)豬能夠回到正常的利潤水平，但是要提醒廣大養(yǎng)豬場戶的是，高利潤階段已經(jīng)結(jié)束了，不要再賭市場，要多關(guān)注農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部門的官方預(yù)警信息，要加快淘汰低產(chǎn)母豬，做好節(jié)本增效的各項工作，特別是不要聽信市場上一些小道消息，不要盲目的壓欄，要有序出欄，不要再以投機(jī)心態(tài)來安排生產(chǎn)，要做好長期的節(jié)本增效工作。
 
　　本文由農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)(epigene.com.cn)整理發(fā)布，資料來源：農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部。

上一篇： 7月21日：“農(nóng)產(chǎn)品批發(fā)價格200指數(shù)”比昨天上升0.19個點

下一篇：7月20日：“農(nóng)產(chǎn)品批發(fā)價格200指數(shù)”比昨天上升0.33個點

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