關(guān)注：春節(jié)即將來(lái)臨，農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格會(huì)有怎樣的變化？

2020-01-16 09:35:29 來(lái)源：農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布 閱讀量：27170 評(píng)論

　　【農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng) 熱點(diǎn)關(guān)注】1月15日，農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部舉行例行新聞發(fā)布會(huì)，介紹2019年重點(diǎn)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場(chǎng)運(yùn)行情況，并就春節(jié)期間農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格可能會(huì)產(chǎn)生的變動(dòng)回答了記者提問(wèn)。
 
　　豬肉
 
　　春節(jié)是一年中豬肉消費(fèi)高峰，所以保障好春節(jié)期間豬肉等“菜籃子”產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)十分重要。據(jù)農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部消息，目前存欄的大豬還有一定數(shù)量，春節(jié)前將逐步出欄，一些屠宰加工和流通企業(yè)的庫(kù)存正陸續(xù)出貨，政府儲(chǔ)備和進(jìn)口豬肉也在陸續(xù)投放，加上南方做臘肉、北方殺年豬的高峰期馬上就要過(guò)去，這些積極因素都不支持春節(jié)前豬肉價(jià)格進(jìn)一步上漲。據(jù)調(diào)查，一般情況下春節(jié)后豬肉消費(fèi)會(huì)有所下降，預(yù)計(jì)春節(jié)前后豬肉供需總體是平穩(wěn)的。
 
　　蔬菜
 
　　農(nóng)產(chǎn)品生產(chǎn)有周期性和季節(jié)性，因此價(jià)格在一定幅度內(nèi)波動(dòng)是正常的。按照往年情況，冬季大部分露地蔬菜上市量減少，“大棚菜”和“南菜”成為市場(chǎng)主供產(chǎn)品，生產(chǎn)和流通的成本相應(yīng)增加，菜價(jià)一般都會(huì)出現(xiàn)較為明顯的上漲。總的判斷，當(dāng)前蔬菜價(jià)格波動(dòng)基本符合往年規(guī)律。
 
　　價(jià)格環(huán)比漲幅偏大一些，主要是因?yàn)榍捌诙菏卟酥鳟a(chǎn)區(qū)有兩輪雨雪降溫天氣，蔬菜跨區(qū)域流通受到階段性影響，加之2020年春節(jié)較早，市場(chǎng)備貨提前，導(dǎo)致短期價(jià)格上漲較快；價(jià)格水平高于去年同期，主要是因?yàn)?019年上半年，菜花、豆角、黃瓜和西葫蘆等部分品種價(jià)格低迷，菜農(nóng)種植意愿降低、面積下降，導(dǎo)致市場(chǎng)價(jià)格漲幅較大，拉高了總體菜價(jià)。從后期走勢(shì)看，由于2019年冬季氣溫正常偏暖，對(duì)北方設(shè)施蔬菜和南方陸地越冬蔬菜生產(chǎn)較為有利，蔬菜生產(chǎn)供給總體是有保障的。春節(jié)前如果不出現(xiàn)持續(xù)性大范圍災(zāi)害性天氣，菜價(jià)有望保持基本穩(wěn)定，節(jié)后價(jià)格或穩(wěn)中有降。
 
　　水果
 
　　2019年我國(guó)水果市場(chǎng)供給總體充裕，價(jià)格前高后低、波動(dòng)幅度相對(duì)較大，但仍大體符合往年季節(jié)性規(guī)律。從后期走勢(shì)看，水果市場(chǎng)供給以庫(kù)存果為主，成本有所增加，且消費(fèi)處于旺季，預(yù)計(jì)春節(jié)前水果價(jià)格小幅上漲，但水果市場(chǎng)供給總量充足、品種豐富，尤其蘋果入庫(kù)率達(dá)到歷史高位，多數(shù)地區(qū)冷庫(kù)入庫(kù)率達(dá)到8-9成，水果價(jià)格大幅度浮動(dòng)的可能性不大，節(jié)后隨著消費(fèi)趨弱，價(jià)格將略有回落。
 
　　本文由農(nóng)機(jī)網(wǎng)整理發(fā)布，部分資料來(lái)源：農(nóng)業(yè)農(nóng)村部，如有侵權(quán)或異議請(qǐng)聯(lián)系我們。

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